Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'll note that the president's party has often enjoyed a bit of party ID bump in prior reelection campaigns. Granted, those candidates generally led! But it's possible the underlying mechanism--attachment to the president leading to partisan realignment--is similar — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I love all the state polls we're getting, though one unintended consequence of so few national polls is that we have lost our grip on the trendline: there aren't many state polls with a long track record in the same geography, making it harder to see if things are changing — PolitiTweet.org