Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Fri Sep 18 12:18:49 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'll posit one simple hypothesis: as we move into year 4 of Trump, the Trump vote (and esp wwc Trump vote) increasingly identifies as Republican. Democrats, OTOH, have morphed into a broad anti-Trump coalition with less identity-based attachment than they've had — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It also comes as Republicans can point to some genuine strength in voter registration trends in states like PA and FL. There are a lot of factors at play there, between switching DINOs, new registrants, and potential declines in Dem new reg due to COVID. But it's interesting — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'll note that the president's party has often enjoyed a bit of party ID bump in prior reelection campaigns. Granted, those candidates generally led! But it's possible the underlying mechanism--attachment to the president leading to partisan realignment--is similar — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated