Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Fri Sep 18 10:21:47 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Maine ballot tests used ranked choice, and it generally padded the Democratic lead by a point: Maine Senate initial preference: Gideon 44 Collins 40 Lind 2 Savage 2 *deleted a prior version of this tweet that reversed Collins/Gideon. my apologies — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

For me, the biggest thing that stands out is the Maine result. It's a huge swing over '16. That said, it's not really alone here: the last two Quinnipiac polls were Biden+15/21; the Hart/Fabrizio/AARP poll in ME was Biden+14, right after the RNC. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That said, Maine has a lot of ingredients for a Biden surge. It's one of the oldest, whitest states in the country--two groups where he's excelled relative to Clinton in national and state polls. It voted for Obama by 15, so there are plenty of swingy voters to get back here. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020 Hibernated