Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Sep 17 13:47:35 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If there's any single competitive district you could look at on Election Night to know whether Texas went blue, this might be the pick https://t.co/hF14G2HcsE — PolitiTweet.org

New in @njhotline this AM: Joint poll in #TX03 from the DCCC and Lulu Seikaly (D) conducted by GSG (Sept. 10-15; 40… https://t.co/boo1KFzlDH

Posted Sept. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@CampaignDiaries Well if everyone was Biden+5 that might be a problem. But it's interesting if the poll results don't appear to be normally distributed around Biden+5, with say a cluster there and outliers either way. Here it's kinda just spread evenly from 0 to 10 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One thing people forget about Wisconsin's huge polling error in 2016 is that there was basically no high-quality polling in town. It was basically MULaw and MULaw alone. As a result, so much of our interpretation of the race hinged on their final poll. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020 Hibernated