Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Sep 17 13:26:20 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One state where we don't have much consensus among pollsters is AZ, where we have everything ranging from Biden+9/10 from three firms to Biden+3 in YouGov and +1 in AAPR/Benensen/GSG. KFF/Cook landed right in the middle today, at 5. We'll see where Monmouth lands in a few hours. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As an aside, the MULaw and NYT/Siena polls in WI were both R+2 by party identification, and Biden still led by 4/5 points among LVs, and more among LVs. It's just not as easy to judge these polls by party ID or past vote or whatever as you might think! https://t.co/Ks2bLgToaF — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@CampaignDiaries Well if everyone was Biden+5 that might be a problem. But it's interesting if the poll results don't appear to be normally distributed around Biden+5, with say a cluster there and outliers either way. Here it's kinda just spread evenly from 0 to 10 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020 Hibernated