Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Sep 12 12:23:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm reminded of our Michigan poll last October, where we had some similar challenges on our first swing through, without the benefit of knowing just how the file would play out. It's possible that a more tailored design would yield better results than the default approach — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The third possibility is that it's not noise, exactly, but a reflection of some real difficulties. As I said last night, we really struggled there; the voter file was surprisingly bad. And it's our first time polling there--the last top battleground where we've never done a poll — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As an aside, NH is Trump's worst state by recalled 2016 vote choice--it's a Clinton/Trump tie there, like IRL. Another reminder that this metric may not be as clear of a way to judge whether a poll is 'good' or 'bad' for a candidate as you might assume. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated