Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Sep 12 11:40:42 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

On one thing we can validate, for ex: people are absolutely horrible at reporting whether they voted. Half who didn't say they did, maybe because they don't take the question literally or not. I also know, based on hard data, that people removed from the file since 16 tilt Dem — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We don't weigh on it for two main of reasons: --We don't know what proportion of the current registered voters are Clinton/Trump. People die. Move. etc. --We don't trust people to recall this accurately and, more importantly, in an unbiased way https://t.co/ysRJczOxYG — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn Seems the sample has a pro Trump bias, no? He didn't beat Clinton by these margins in any of these state… https://t.co/Yl86D0dNs5

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If we had a contemporaneous account, like some panel polls out there, that would be different. But those facts alone are enough to preclude weighting on it. And our June polls--wildly good for Biden--also showed Trump doing *better* than '16 in recalled vote — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated