Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Fri Sep 11 21:02:56 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob i fear that this is going to need to change a lot in response to mail and i'm a little concerned about it. for now, in practice, VF winds up dominating over self-report if you're a high turnout voter, but self-report can move it if you're a low turnout voter — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob for now, we're sampling the whole RV universe, raking to a modeled electorate with the turnout score as a first stage weight, estimating turnout as a function of both self report and VF, and then the final weight is rake weight * estimated turnout/modeled — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I wouldn't call it a flub; it's a ~6 pt error more than 3 weeks out! But it is an interesting question https://t.co/VR6b2HaAZq — PolitiTweet.org

Curious about Nevada and if he's implemented any changes since 2018. One of the only flubs from him. https://t.co/Ada7Ger84O

Posted Sept. 11, 2020 Hibernated