Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Fri Sep 11 20:57:19 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As an aside, you really do learn a lot about polling a state after you've actually done it! They're not all the same and it does make a bit of a difference to have some prior data and experience there — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Honestly it's the same as last time, but a few notes: --we're switching to LVs --this was our first time polling NH (and I should note we've polled basically everywhere!) and it's a much rougher voter file than I had assumed! low productivity; missing age. The Michigan of the NE — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob for now, we're sampling the whole RV universe, raking to a modeled electorate with the turnout score as a first stage weight, estimating turnout as a function of both self report and VF, and then the final weight is rake weight * estimated turnout/modeled — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 11, 2020 Hibernated