Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Sep 10 11:23:32 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This, to me, is simply not a 'shy' Trump vote. It is a Trump vote that's spitting in the face of the pollster, not one afraid to show off the confederate flag hat that they're wearing. But it would be more dangerous for polling and it would be harder to identify — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This argument just can't be dismissed. It is quite obvious that response rates have degraded to the point where polls depend on robust controls; once that's true you just can't guarantee that you've controlled for everything that's material, even if you take a robust approach. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now for that same reason, there's just not a ton of evidence that this is a real problem, either. Education + undecided voters + turnout covers a whole lot of what went wrong in '16 and 2018 was good enough for most purposes. But I don't see how you can disprove it, either — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2020 Hibernated