Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sun Sep 06 20:55:25 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 dk what he said elsewhere. i think their forecast pages are quite clear — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris a tied election may be exactly the right prior, IMO. my point is that their prior is not a tied election. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 again, i think the model pages are quite clear. but the EC/PV split helps explain a bit of the gap here, as ~tied nationally is not 50/50, like you said — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 6, 2020 Hibernated