Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sat Sep 05 14:12:33 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Another kind of theory is demographic: WI is the whitest state of the bunch. Biden's gains are among white voters--and, yes, regardless of education/urbanicity. Therefore, maybe Biden should be making the largest gains in WI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As a result, it's harder to correct for various kinds of partisan bias in WI/MI and especially WI. If, hypothetically, it was more challenging to reach GOPers in this region, pollsters can do more to fix it in PA than in WI/MI, and you'd get a similar pattern — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

PA is also the only state of the bunch where Trump has a really solid GOP base (just check out the 2016 primary results). At a time when Trump struggles, it makes sense that he might lose a lot more ground in west Michigan or the MIL burbs than he would in the PA GOP heartland — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 5, 2020 Hibernated