Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Sep 02 12:43:45 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Even if the president's gains do stick, a 7 pt national deficit is probably not something for the president to feel great about, even stipulating that he could better off in the key E.C. states. For perspective, this is still basically better for Biden than any day from 3/15-6/1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

These polls were taken immediately after the RNC, so this is prime 'bounce' territory. It could represent a highwater mark for Trump, and that would not be promising news for him. But it could stick if it's driven by durable changes in issue salience. We'll have to wait and see. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

On the other hand, a 7 pt deficit does keep the president within striking distance, given the possibility of further change, polling error, and the E.C. edge. We'll get some clarity on the E.C. when we finally get some state polls, starting w Monmouth in PA later today — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated