Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Aug 27 13:38:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris and look, if we're talking subjective: do you really think your CI in IA/OH/UT, just to take a few I glanced at, is appropriate? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris i mean, you just saw in the last election that many states--9 or 10--swing 10 points from '16/where you'd forecast them right around now. given the small n, you really don't know just how far that is down the tail. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@On_Politike @gelliottmorris they did! the fivethirtyeight nowcast at this point in '16 had Clinton *ahead* in Iowa, which she lost by more than 9. It had Clinton up *4* in Ohio, which she lost by 8. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated