Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Tue Aug 25 13:17:11 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A few people have asked me about this. Even if you get a 10 ppt turnout edge (say 60% turnout for supporters of cand x; 70 for cand y), cand y would still need to be > 46% of the major party vote among vote among RVs to reach 50% among LVs. https://t.co/jZRRve8RAw — PolitiTweet.org

Note on turnout vs persuasion: In CBS poll last week 96% of voters had made up their minds (same poll Oct 2016=89%)… https://t.co/dZcFbefBRn

Posted Aug. 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway who knows whether that would have worked for Bush at the time. As it is today, their reliance on this kind of strategy is borne of a certain weakness. They don't think they have a clear vision for a more traditional strategy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Haley/Scott, the whole COVID sequence, various testimonials were at least intended to elicit a second look. How well that works or, arguably more importantly, whether they're really committed to it with advertisements, rest of convention, etc.? IDK. https://t.co/eGRdCOf30O — PolitiTweet.org

GOP strategist @LPDonovan on RNC open: “effective if goal was firing up 40-odd percent already inclined to vote for… https://t.co/8vJdutx9e5

Posted Aug. 25, 2020 Hibernated