Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Aug 20 15:39:17 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It is all but certain that Biden will fare worse compared to a world where *every mail ballot is accepted,* or whatever. I don't think that's useless information. But I'm not sure just how useful it is without understanding the alternatives, which are harder to evaluate — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We have to be really clear about our baseline here: lose .6 compared to what? There's never been an election where every provisional ballot is accepted, where everyone gets to their polling place by the poll closing time, etc. https://t.co/5IaIhSHgwz — PolitiTweet.org

#NEW I did some math & wrote a piece about what trouble with the USPS and vote-by-mail actually means in November.… https://t.co/mjxypz…

Posted Aug. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Data quality has a big role in shaping our interpretation here: we can easily quantify the downside risks with mail voting. We don't have similarly clear data on downside risks of in-person voting, or on the upsides of mail. That doesn't mean they don't exist — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 20, 2020 Hibernated