Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Mon Aug 17 11:20:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

ABC/Post comes in at Biden+12 among RVs, 53 to 41, with a 10 point lead among LVs. That's Biden's best result among live interview polls of the month, and it has the same, late 8/12-15 field period as CNN/SSRS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's a fun debate about how to think about these kind of things. One could argue you want to simulate the ballot; another argument is that most voters make up their mind before actually voting, so simulating the ballot may emphasize things that don't actually influence voters — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Taking the education-weighted, generally live interview 'probability' samples together, it seems pretty clear that Biden's lead has shrunk by a couple of points over the last month, but that he also maintains a fairly comfortable lead. https://t.co/w8WDBNgoAj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 17, 2020 Hibernated