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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Aug 12 18:02:41 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @theJackVaughan: Election Twitter’s crowdfunded KANSAS poll results SurveyUSA/Election Twitter (8/5-8/9) MoE +/- 3.3% ________ KS-SEN… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris i mean, looking at this to evaluate whether you're overfitting or not is kind of getting at the central area of disagreement in how to think about this. but also, don't these look... really overconfident? that dotted line sure falls outside or on your 90% CI a lot — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris I don't see what this purports to prove? Just because a model doesn't have a really tight fit doesn't mean it isn't overfit? It's not like you're overfit at +/- 4 but not at 6 or something. It just doesn't really help evaluate this stuff — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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