Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Aug 12 17:54:26 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris Maybe it was too tough of a word choice. I'm not trying to be harsh here; he asked where the difference was, and I think I've outlined just a really core difference in how to think about uncertainty in model design https://t.co/vOuPGgAgsb — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn @gelliottmorris Describing a data analysis you don’t agree with as deluded is kind of unprofessional, Nate.

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris Here's maybe the normie way to look at it: when you keep tweeting about how well some choice validates, and constantly emphasize the *statistical* tools you choose to avoid overfitting, not the analytical ones, that scares me and indicates that you're falling into a trap — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris i mean, looking at this to evaluate whether you're overfitting or not is kind of getting at the central area of disagreement in how to think about this. but also, don't these look... really overconfident? that dotted line sure falls outside or on your 90% CI a lot — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2020 Hibernated