Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Mon Aug 10 16:09:10 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As an example, many noticed our AZ poll had like Trump>10 on '16 recalled vote. But you can't just unskew it 5 points to the left. Our poll, as it was, had the right number of reg Ds/Rs; unskewing on the '16 vote tab would have meant giving Dems a reg advantage in AZ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One minor thing, for the crosstab divers: you can't just reweight a poll by changing the proportions in the crosstabs, since that can throw off other variables. You've got to weight on everything at once. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Well, depends on the other weights, but if you just give more weight to the GOP in the sample, you just made your sample whiter than it should be, or maybe now you have too few young voters, or too few people outside the South, and so on. https://t.co/iTkhSGmFUn — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated