Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Mon Aug 10 15:47:13 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Thus, our last adjustment: race by education. As you can see, having the right number of college grads is good, but having the right number of whites with a degree v. nonwhites with a degree is better. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This basic pattern helps explain some common patterns we've seen in state polling, where the polls that aren't weighted by education still seem to kinda fair ok or even underestimate Dems in the diverse southwestern states, even while understating Dems badly in the Midwest — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This won't usually have a huge effect, but here it's worth a point. If we take our previous Biden+8 (assuming two-year = "some college", but using our weighting targets) and now weight by race x edu as well, we now move to Biden+9, 51 to 43. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2020 Hibernated