Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Fri Aug 07 14:02:38 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The live interview state polls are also rare, and they don't add a ton of extra clarity. IMO, two Monmouth polls of GA/IA were maybe more like Biden+8 than their prior Biden+12 national result. Those Quinnipiac polls, OTOH, sure look like their last Biden+15 poll. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So while I think the data is consistent with tightening, I don't think it disproves stability either. It is entirely possible that another round of round of ABC, Monmouth, CNN type national polls would show double-digit leads for Biden and move the average quickly back his way — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway the polling drought will come to an end. Virtually all will want to weigh in before the DNC, which starts 8/17. In fact, that's the reason for the drought: if you're polling next week, you wouldn't poll over the last few. So I'd guess we've got a lot coming. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2020 Hibernated