Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Thu Aug 06 22:35:33 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RachelBitecofer @cfbarry486 @NiskanenCenter @ElectionWsphr the start of this thread is you saying Trump+9 in KY is 'predicted' by your Trump+30 model. the merit of your work, whatever it might have been, is totally obscured when you construe your 'theory' to mean anything--even something ludicrous like tossup doesn't mean tossup — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RachelBitecofer @cfbarry486 @NiskanenCenter @ElectionWsphr the start of this thread is you saying Biden+15 in KY is 'predicted' by your trump+30 estimate. the merit of your work, whatever it might have been, is totally obscured when you construe your 'theory' to mean anything--even something ludicrous like tossup doesn't mean tossup — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2020 Deleted Hibernated Just a Typo

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RachelBitecofer @cfbarry486 @NiskanenCenter @ElectionWsphr i don't doubt that your forecast was 42 on the night of the election. i don't understand how i can reasonably interpret your forecast as such at the outset, unless you want to show contemporaneous evidence that tossup didn't mean tossup — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2020 Hibernated