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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Aug 05 15:03:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Trump by 3 in Iowa, 48 to 45, per Monmouth https://t.co/8HFmNS4MRt — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@kkondik I mean I can conjure up an argument for Ernst being likelier to actually win as a result of elasticity or something, but in terms of predicted vote share I would have to think quite hard before betting that Ernst outruns Cornyn by a significant amount — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Interestingly, the LV screen works Biden's way in this poll and the race is tied in a 'low turnout LV' universe. Keep in mind that these LV screens are super noisy, but it is also possible that Biden could have at least a relative turnout edge in relatively white states — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2020 Hibernated