Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Wed Aug 05 14:47:50 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@kkondik Anyway, I've been wrong or not seen something coming many times before and perhaps this will be the next occasion for it! But this one just doesn't quite add up for me — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@kkondik McSally's not a typical incumbent, so that makes some sense to me. I do find Tillis odd, as well, but it's not like we're calling that race 'lean Dem' despite routine 7-9 pt leads for Cunningham. It's fundamentally in the same category as the presidential race, i'd think — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@kkondik I mean I can conjure up an argument for Ernst being likelier to actually win as a result of elasticity or something, but in terms of predicted vote share I would have to think quite hard before betting that Ernst outruns Cornyn by a significant amount — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2020 Hibernated