Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Mon Aug 03 15:11:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@SeanTrende @NickRiccardi here's what the poll averages would look like to me if you split the polls into three groups: live (blue), online (red), ivr (green) https://t.co/yWteBXJ3zX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@SeanTrende @NickRiccardi there's only so much you can do if you only have recent data from one mode, and you have trendline adjustment on the assumption that shifts are interchangable controlling for house effects — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@SeanTrende @NickRiccardi this includes trendline adjustment, house effects, and weights (just using 1/predicted 538 abs error by pollster). all polls with a live component count as live; all polls with any ivr component are IVR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2020 Hibernated