Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

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Sun Aug 02 15:05:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It'll be interesting to see whether this basic pattern holds up as YouGov completes more state polls. It's not an implausible pattern: in fact, it's often a somewhat more uniform shift than the other polling right now, which shows a Biden breakthrough in the Midwest — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

CBS/YouGov has only done two 'rust belt' polls: Biden+6 in MI and Trump+1 in OH. The MI number is their worst poll for Biden, while OH is fine. The battleground tracker puts PA/WI more in the disappointing for Biden camp: Biden+5 in PA and Biden+4 in WI https://t.co/0CJlnVHT0T — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But while it's not an implausible pattern, it is a different one: it's a world with a much larger gap between the 'tipping point state' and the nation as a whole, and it's one where Biden's path to victory might better in NC/FL/AZ than WI/PA! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 2, 2020 Hibernated