Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos this isn't my only point, but maybe here's another way to phrase one: people are entitled to make a forecast with an empirical model but that model, itself, is not a forecast. it is not inherently predictive or forward looking. it is explaining the past not simulating the future. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos i agree that you would be making a prediction, but i don't think that's an inherent property of the model; similarly an empirical model isn't necessarily bad if it isn't predictive — PolitiTweet.org