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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2022

Created

Fri Jul 31 21:32:07 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos i think maybe you should re-read it? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway, this isn't to say the empirical models are useless. Not at all! But they're disappointing if you entered the field having previously thought about forecasting in a scientific settings, like physics or weather. They might not even feel like forecasts at all — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos this isn't my only point, but maybe here's another way to phrase one: people are entitled to make a forecast with an empirical model but that model, itself, is not a forecast. it is not inherently predictive or forward looking. it is explaining the past not simulating the future. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2020 Hibernated

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