Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway, this isn't to say the empirical models are useless. Not at all! But they're disappointing if you entered the field having previously thought about forecasting in a scientific settings, like physics or weather. They might not even feel like forecasts at all — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos this isn't my only point, but maybe here's another way to phrase one: people are entitled to make a forecast with an empirical model but that model, itself, is not a forecast. it is not inherently predictive or forward looking. it is explaining the past not simulating the future. — PolitiTweet.org