Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 1, 2021

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Wed Jul 29 12:06:41 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As my note on 'unleaned' implies, Biden's big gains are among independents. There are plenty of polls where he's up 20. There's no plausible party ID target where that's consistent with a close race — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And in general, the polls... don't really show a shift in unleaned party identification since earlier in the year. To some extent that still begs the question, but it does imply that Biden's gains aren't attributable to partisan nonresponse — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And as you may recall, it was Romney who led among independents back when we were doing those 'unskewed polls' fights back in 2012. The Democratic party ID edge was the foundation of Obama's edge. That's just not true now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020 Hibernated