Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 1, 2021

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Tue Jul 28 17:53:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 if by 'equivalent data,' you mean that you have microdata from a dozen national and state polls--that you don't get IRL--then that would certainly cancel out issues with regularizaiton, as I believe I said in the context of GA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 not nationwide, that's for sure. and there's an example of why maybe you've got to be careful with using single polls. fox hasn't shown biden up by more than 10 points among white college graduates in their last 5 polls. good luck using that for this purpose — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 but the point of nate's exercise is what to do when you don't have much/any state polling at all, let alone the microdata! i don't see how it's remotely equivalent — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated