Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 1, 2021

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Tue Jul 28 17:31:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 sorry; deleted for length and then it didn't make sense: 'certain it would not compete with state polling averages' — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 you can be fairly competitive with the state polls if you go beyond this, and either have far stronger covariates or a way incorporate state polling data (in a manner like other nate proposes) or pass along the state-by-state biases in MRP from prior elections — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 if by state-level microdata you mean 'the microdata from a N>400 or whatever state poll', then i would presume that your estimate in that state would be comparable to a single state poll — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020 Hibernated