Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 yes, but for the wrong reason: regularization systematically diminishes Democratic strength among white voters in the north with respect to the raw data, and the opposite in the south. In '16 that makes you look smart, but not for the right reasons — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 yes, though there's a lot going into ironing out those biases on a plausibly predictive basis that goes well beyond the standard MRP stuff (though even the most heroic effort isn't going to get Indiana as a tossup in 08, or something) — PolitiTweet.org