Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 26, 2021

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Sun Jul 26 13:50:54 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There are basically a few possibilities. One is luck, but let's suppose that's not it. Another possibility is that this results from a good design choice. For instance, the NBC/Marist poll is weighted by income, which is correlated with education. Maybe that helps a ton? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Earlier this year, I collected RDD data from CNN, ABC/Post, Monmouth, KFF. It came in at 44% with a degree among adults v. 32% weighted. Here, NBC/Marist poll lands at 35% among adults without weighting by education. So what's going on? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Another possibility is that it's the result of a more dubious choice--basically, two wrongs canceling out to make a right. This seems unlikely, but if it's not weighting or luck then either Marist or the other RDD pollsters must be doing something different from the other — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 26, 2020 Hibernated