Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 13, 2021

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Fri Jul 24 12:09:30 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Of course, the 'national trends may not manifest uniformly point' is particularly true by district. It wouldn't be hard to imagine, hypothetically, Biden winning an IN05 by 7 without flipping FL16. Real world election results always defy simple demographics — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden wins several of the Trump +10 or more districts that keep popping up in private polls, like IN05, MO02, TX21, etc. But he also wins districts that aren't getting much attention, perhaps because they're not overly heavy on college grads, like AZ06, OH10, MI06, FL16 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But the idea that GOP losses might now well past '18 shouldn't be a surprise: Trump's approval rating today is a net-6 points lower than it was heading into the midterm. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 24, 2020 Hibernated