Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 13, 2021

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Fri Jul 24 11:53:19 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The next-tier of states also looks quite a bit like state polls, though the Democratic weakness among Hispanic voters in national polls (which I'm not sure I expect to last and may not materialize in TX) barely blocks blue TX ME-2 Biden+2 OH +2 IA +1 GA +1 TX Trump+1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

By state, these estimates yield results that look a lot like recent polls (though keep in mind that, unlike this simulation, national shifts would undoubtedly manifest in non-uniform and unpredictable ways by state): MI Biden+10 WI +10 PA +9 FL +6 NC +6 AZ +4 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

All of this shouldn't be too surprising. More surprising is what comes next: AK Trump+4 UT Trump+5 SC Trump+7 MT Trump+7 KS Trump+8 MO/IN Trump+9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 24, 2020 Hibernated