Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 13, 2021

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Thu Jul 23 14:42:11 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Direct comparisons are really important, since results by subgroup are pretty sensitive to methodological choices and mode. That's especially true with post-election surveys that have been adjusted to match results, which creates additional interacting effects — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

With an apples-to-apples comparison, Biden's strength among white voters appears much broader, spanning basically all categories. It's not about seniors or college-educated white surging his way — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 23, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden's seeming weakness with no college whites, for instance, is basically just a product of some weird oddities with the CCES that lead to a likely overestimate of Clinton's support. Any other benchmark, and certainly an apples-to-apples one, would show Biden gains — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 23, 2020 Hibernated