Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 8, 2021

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Sat Jul 18 19:08:39 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DanRosenheck @collprof @Michael_Cobb68 maybe we need to have some humility on our ability to distinguish a 1:20 from 1:200 risk on the joint distribution of N=18, when one of your two variables here isn't even a measurement but a varying backfit inference? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DanRosenheck @collprof @Michael_Cobb68 but what, in english, is the empirical basis for believing that Trump has a 1% chance of winning the popular vote? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DanRosenheck @collprof @Michael_Cobb68 and like, i'm just eye-balling it here, but aren't you already at or out of your 95% CI from march? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 18, 2020 Hibernated