Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 8, 2021

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Fri Jul 17 14:23:52 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

You may recall this series of tweets, noting that it sure seemed like the polls abruptly got worse for Trump around this time--with the last merely mediocre polling for him taken right over the Lafayette sq. incident https://t.co/XC05NlHz6l — PolitiTweet.org

And here's what that looks like in chart form, with the horizontal line marking my semi-arbitrary threshold for med… https://t.co/mqb0Y27mk6

Posted July 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A strong interview with @davidshor here, much of which I agree with. One thing I'd flag and reiterate is that the Lafayette Square incident feels like a clear moment of discontinuity in the polling https://t.co/3iwJK9c5YI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

To be sure, there were some rough numbers for Trump in in late May (ABC/Post, Monmouth, for ex.), and there was a longer term decline in Trump standing since April. But up until that point there were still some ok numbers for Trump. They went away after Lafayette — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 17, 2020 Hibernated