Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 7, 2021

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Wed Jul 15 11:23:47 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

These districts don't strike me as very different from an MO02 and IN05, if you factor in the uncertain D upside of rapid demographic change. TX is changing but these districts are transforming. What's going to happen with high turnout and registration in a competitive race? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

All of these races were single digits in the House last time, despite no serious contest. All were Cruz+5 or less (TX10 was a Beto win). TX3, last I looked, has the highest college graduate percentage of any GOP held district remaining in the land — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As a result, I have no real doubts about whether Biden *could* win a district like TX03, which was Trump+14 last time. That's not to say he will. But I don't see how that's even controversial at this point, and if so it would pbly mean no better than a low single digit House race — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2020 Hibernated