Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 2, 2021

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Mon Jul 13 14:43:15 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

They've voted to reelect a Dem senator in '12 and '18. They voted for *this* Democratic governor in '12 and '16. Even that MT00 House race last fall was a mere R+4.7. There's just no way anything like this could have happened in TN, and probably not within double digits of it — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

IDK, MT has a much more robust and recent track record of voting for Democrats, including their nominee in this contest https://t.co/oWwFJo1zzX — PolitiTweet.org

I have a similar view of this race as I did the TN sen race with bredesen; I 100% believe that Bullock can get to 4… https://t.co/n6YOCMZRxD

Posted July 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We also have some pretty robust evidence that Trump was far, far less popular in '18 in MT than in TN, and perhaps even today (Civiqs). In the exit, Trump's approval was at +3 in MT (basically the same as the AZ/FL/TX/OH group!) v. +19 in TN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 13, 2020 Hibernated