Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 2, 2021

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Thu Jul 09 14:23:56 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It is, of course, possible we return to something like a Biden+6 race with RVs and these states slide back to irrelevance. Any reasonable analysis would allow for it. But at this point, there is also a real possibility of an expanded map in the presidential race and downballot — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As an aside, it is interesting to me that none of these states are considered 'likely trump' in the various ratings. No harm in caution, I suppose. But in this job, it's important to recognize when there's a plausible basis for a lasting and large shift in a race. COVID counts. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob it's an interesting question, though fwiw those AKSEN polls wound up ok after all the acrimony back in '14. seems like Lake had the house race in a decent spot in '18 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated