Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 2, 2021

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Thu Jul 09 14:18:08 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Alaska is one of several states--MT, KS, SC, AK, UT, maybe MO/IN--where it's fairly easy to imagine how the race could be Trump < 5 or so in this environment. I doubt they all are, to be clear, but I'd guess one or two are in that range and AK is one of the better candidates — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Alaska polling is tough, but Trump+3 is about what I would expect in this national environment, particularly given the state's relatively elastic and independent voting streak — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As an aside, it is interesting to me that none of these states are considered 'likely trump' in the various ratings. No harm in caution, I suppose. But in this job, it's important to recognize when there's a plausible basis for a lasting and large shift in a race. COVID counts. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 9, 2020 Hibernated