Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 21, 2021

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Tue Jul 07 12:20:55 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's hard to predict where. The current Civiqs estimates--and I'd guess they're not great in small states--offers one picture that's at least worth considering, albeit with caution. Otherwise, we're guessing based on demographics and that's not easy. https://t.co/tACdHistYs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Those estimates added up to Trump approval at -10 among RVs. He's probably a net-5 points further back right now. So it's pretty likely that, today, the president's approval rating is underwater in several of those states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

For now, all of these are kinda maybe-plausibly competitive in this national environment, and we'll just have to wait and see whether any of them break toward Dems (IN '08, for ex), or whether they all kinda hang back on the periphery (tho maybe close enough for a surprise poll) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 7, 2020 Hibernated