Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 21, 2021

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Tue Jul 07 12:13:41 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Last summer, we put out some estimates of where we thought Trump's approval rating stood in 11/18, based on the exits, CCES, votecast, and House results. Once you get past the standard battlegrounds, you reach TX/OH/GA. Not far behind is a less competitive bunch: AK/UT/SC/KS/MT https://t.co/T8deDNatKJ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Consider this: In '18, the Democrats gained about 5 pts over Clinton's '16 margin in the popular vote. If Biden was up 12, hypothetically (!), that's another 5 points further. That's enough to draw another tier of states to the brink of competitiveness — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Those estimates added up to Trump approval at -10 among RVs. He's probably a net-5 points further back right now. So it's pretty likely that, today, the president's approval rating is underwater in several of those states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 7, 2020 Hibernated