Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 9, 2021

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Thu Jun 25 11:30:33 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

An outtake that I thought could be chart worthy, but decided against, is comparing our poll results among validated '16 voters to how validated 2016 voters say they voted in '16. These are the same respondents, so you're looking at how they say they've changed https://t.co/kQPlXprYeN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In terms of the individual states, I wouldn't spend *too* much time dwelling on each. At N=650 each, you get real noise. Maybe NC's too Biden; maybe AZ's too Trump. Totally possible, and that kind of noise is expected here. But taken together, the story is clear. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Notice, btw, we don't have quite so many undecided voters as in our toplines. That could mean that our higher levels of undecided voters is partly due to properly representing nonvoters, who are far likelier to be undecided and usually underrepresented in polls — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated