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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

An inside look at a state pollster (Y2, Utah) evaluating whether to weight by education They switch in the end, finding a 3-7 pt shift toward Trump when they add education weights (though they don't go as most edu-weighted state polls) https://t.co/Q5fLt2J0QX — PolitiTweet.org

Data weighting is what we use to accurately reflect a population, after a reexamination of our weighting practices… https://t.co/65nkuImD3a

Posted June 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And if you look at the wording, Fox doesn't ask 'how' he's doing the job as president' but if you approve of 'the' job he's doing. In the extreme, a respondent could approve of the job he's doing (TRYING to fix covid, i approve!) but think he's doing terribly at it — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Here, they choose to weight to a Utah exit poll (which, itself is not weighted by education). That appears to be less educated than their own poll, but still far better educated than the census-based estimates that most state pollsters (us, Marquette, Monmouth) use — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 19, 2020 Hibernated