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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 6, 2021

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Wed Jun 17 15:27:53 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm pretty sympathetic to many of the points in this article--many of which I've argued before. But Biden's lead is big enough that it's not terribly material. Like, ok, maybe Biden's up 12 instead of 16 in Michigan once you weight by education. https://t.co/zDQp3H6kU0 — PolitiTweet.org

Mario Regus @granfaloon

@Nate_Cohn What are your thoughts on today’s Politco article? After 2016, how are we to trust any polls today? https://t.co/GiCmRj1S1H

Posted June 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@b_schaffner @DataProgress true, though fwiw most polls don't have biden gaining so much up to 54 (if he was at 50 i think you could more reasonably speculate about a simple trump--> undec pattern) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This could easily be a big deal again if we wind up back in a spot where Biden's up 6 in national RV polls and up 5 in a bunch of battleground state polls unweighted by education. But that's not where we're at right now — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 17, 2020 Hibernated