Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 6, 2021

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Wed Jun 17 13:17:26 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

My own view is it's not social desirability. Look at the Ipsos poll this morning. It's a good poll that's done online. I don't think Trump voters would be embarrassed to merely 'click' Trump. You're not talking to some interviewer judging you. But Trump's at 35 and down 13! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Given that Trump's support has dropped, I'd guess there are probably Trump voters who currently say they're undecided. Whether that's because of social desirability or because, in this moment, they don't want to vote for Trump is another question https://t.co/M8SHD0b9mD — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In this case, there's an argument that mean-reversion would involve unemployment dropping 10 pts, COVID going away, and BLM net-fav dropping 10 or 15 pts https://t.co/cmLbVZ6U3T — PolitiTweet.org

Maybe things were mean-reverting in the first three years of Trump’s presidency because those three years were pret… https://t.co/eIkGGinETO

Posted June 17, 2020 Hibernated