Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 18, 2020

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Tue May 05 16:50:13 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Basically, I'd urge some caution on a lot of the state polling we're seeing lately. I don't want to say it's all bad. But IDK how much of it is good, and some of it doesn't even cross the threshold of a reportable result, IMO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There are some very real reasons why it's quite difficult to just take an online poll sample of a state and weight it to census demographics, as if it's a phone poll. That challenge gets even greater in smaller states, where the number of panelists is awfully thin — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Unfortunately, it's hard to draw lines due to a lack of publicly available data or methodological transparency. To my mind, YouGov synthetic sampling, various mail- or text-to-web efforts, or panels matched to the voter file are presumptively reportable, even quality varies a lot — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated